基于OD和列车时刻表的地铁线网客流回溯模型研究

Subway Network Passenger Flow Backtracking Model Based on OD and Train Timetables

  • 摘要:
    目的 地铁由乘客、车站和列车三大核心部分组成,基于OD(起讫点)信息和列车时刻表信息构建这三者的动态关系,对线网客流进行回溯研究。
    方法 分析了目前线网客流回溯研究方法;基于乘客OD信息、列车时刻表信息构建了线网客流回溯模型;基于杭州地铁实际数据对所构建模型进行了试验验证。
    结果及结论  所构建的线网客流回溯模型,基于杭州地铁真实数据计算得到:乘客的平均站台候车时间为2.88 min,乘客的平均出站时间误差为3.27 min,乘客的平均旅行时间为26.50 min,模型准确率达到88%以上。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective  Subways are composed of three core components: passengers, stations, and trains. By constructing the dynamic relationship between these three components based on OD (origin - destination) and train timetable information, a backtracking study of network passenger flow is conducted.
    Method Current research methods for network passenger flow backtracking are analyzed. A network passenger flow backtracking model is constructed based on passenger OD and train timetable information. This model is validated through experiments using actual data from Hangzhou Metro.
    Result & Conclusion  Based on the real data from Hangzhou Metro, calculation results of the constructed network passenger flow backtracking model show that the average platform waiting time for passengers is 2.88 min, the average error in passenger exit time is 3.27 min, and the average passenger travel time is 26.50 min, indicating an accuracy rate of over 88% for this model.

     

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