引入共享单车后对城市轨道交通车站接驳方式分担率的影响及划分模型构建

Influence of Shared Bicycles on the Sharing Rate of Access Modes to Urban Rail Transit Stations and the Construction of Modal Split Model

  • 摘要:
    目的 共享单车具有使用周转率高、停放时间短、占用社会停车资源少等优点,已逐步成为城市轨道交通接驳工具的新兴力量。为了给非机动车接驳交通设施规划提供科学依据,有必要研究引入共享单车后对城市轨道交通车站接驳方式选择的影响,构建接驳方式划分模型。
    方法 以上海为研究对象,利用网络问卷调查引入共享单车后城市轨道交通车站接驳方式选择现状,分析接驳时间、接驳费用、性别、年龄、月收入对接驳方式选择的影响。利用非集计Logit模型完善了引入共享单车后城市轨道交通车站接驳方式划分模型,并验证了其准确性。
    结果及结论 引入共享单车后,步行仍是最主要的接驳方式,但步行接驳分担率明显降低,使用共享单车接驳替代步行接驳的乘客最多。城市轨道交通车站的各接驳方式分担率同接驳时间及接驳费用存在显著的相关关系,呈现出接驳分担率随接驳时间与接驳费用增加而减小的趋势。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective With the advantages of high turnover rate, short parking time, and low occupation of public parking resources, shared bicycles have gradually become an emerging alternative in urban rail transit access modes. To provide a scientific basis for planning non-motorized access transportation facilities, it is necessary to study the impact of the introduction of shared bicycles on the choice of access modes to urban rail transit stations (hereinafter referred to as station access mode) and establish an access mode split model.
    Method Taking Shanghai as the research object, an online questionnaire is used to investigate the current choice state of station access mode after the introduction of shared bicycles. The influence of access time, access cost, gender, age, and monthly income on passengers' choice of access mode is analyzed. A disaggregate Logit model is used to refine the modal split model for station access mode after the introduction of shared bicycles, and the accuracy of the model is further validated.
    Result & Conclusion  Walking remains the dominant access mode after the introduction of shared bicycles, but its share rate significantly decreases as a larger proportion of passengers switch from walking to shared bicycles for access. The modal split rate of station access mode exhibits a significant correlation with access time and cost, demonstrating a trend of the share decrease with the increase in access time and cost.

     

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