基于行人仿真的地铁车站服务弹性评估方法

Assessment Method for Metro Station Resilience Service Based on Passenger Flow Simulation

  • 摘要:
    目的 目前,在地铁车站大客流处置预案下,服务性能恢复效果的评估指标仍不足,难以从事件演化的时空过程对车站整体客流管控措施进行量化测度。对此,有必要将弹性理论引入对地铁车站应对大客流冲击抵御和恢复能力的评估。
    方法 综合定量和定性的方法,提出服务弹性计算指标和服务弹性观测指标概念。面向地铁车站大客流场景,通过行人仿真技术设计了支撑服务弹性指标测度的客流仿真模型。以上海轨道交通大渡河路站(13号线部分)为例,对车站服务过程及客流动态变化进行模拟,找到降低车站服务性能的薄弱环节并提出优化方案。对车站服务弹性进行评估,并进行前、后相关指标对比。
    结果及结论 减少车站风险点、提升设施服务效率、有序化管控客流等做法能较好地提升车站服务弹性,证明了服务弹性指标作为评估车站大客流处置预案及处置实施效果新指标的有效性。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective At present, the evaluation indicators for service performance recovery under the emergency response plan for metro station large passenger flows remain insufficient, making it difficult to quantitatively measure the overall passenger flow control measures of stations from the perspective of spatiotemporal process of incident evolution. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce resilience theory into the assessment of the resistance and recovery capabilities of metro stations in response to the large passenger flow impact.
    Method By integrating quantitative and qualitative methods, the concepts of service resilience calculation indicators and service resilience observation indicators are proposed. For scenarios involving large passenger flows in metro stations, a passenger flow simulation model supporting the measurement of service resilience indicators is designed based on pedestrian simulation technology. In a case study of Daduhe Road Station on Shanghai Metro Line 13, the service process of the station and the dynamic changes of passenger flow are simulated to identify weak points that degrade the station’s service performance, and corresponding optimization schemes are proposed. The service resilience of the station is assessed, and relevant indicators before and after the optimization are compared.
    Result & Conclusion  Measures such as reducing risk points in the station, improving the service efficiency of facilities, and implementing orderly passenger flow management can effectively enhance the station’s service resilience, validating the effectiveness of service resilience indicators as a new index to assess the emergency plan for large passenger flow and the implementation effect in metro stations.

     

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