基于多指标分类的城际铁路车站客流影响因素分析

Analysis of Factors Influencing Passenger Flow at Intercity Railway Stations Based on Multi-Index Classification

  • 摘要:
    目的 为分析不同因素对城际铁路车站客流量的影响,识别车站客流吸引薄弱环节,有必要基于多指标分类方法开展城际铁路车站客流影响因素研究。
    方法 从车站周边开发情况、交通接驳条件和线路服务水平三个维度构建城际铁路车站客流潜力指标体系;采用改进的CRITIC赋权法求解各指标权重,并获得了三类综合评价指标;依托三类综合评价指标开展车站聚类分析,研究不同类型车站的客流情况,量化各类因素对客流的影响程度;以粤港澳大湾区城际铁路车站为例,开展实证分析。
    结果及结论 交通接驳条件是站点客流量的重要影响因素;扩大客流吸引范围、提升线路竞争力是提高城际铁路客流量的关键举措;车站周边短距离范围内的开发情况对客流影响相对较小。根据聚类分析结果,可进一步对不同类型车站开展针对性的客流提升策略研究,以达到提高粤港澳大湾区城际铁路客流效益的目的。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To analyze the impact of different factors on the passenger volume of intercity railway stations and identify the weak links in station passenger flow attraction, it is necessary to conduct research on the influencing factors of intercity railway station passenger flow based on a multi-index classification method.
    Method An index system for the passenger flow potential of intercity railway stations is constructed from three dimensions: surrounding development conditions, transportation connection conditions, and line service levels. An improved CRITIC weighting method is adopted to calculate the weight of each indicator, and three types of comprehensive evaluation indices are obtained. Relying on these three types of comprehensive evaluation indices, a station clustering analysis is conducted to study the passenger flow conditions of different types of stations and quantify the impact degree of various factors on passenger flow. Taking the intercity railway stations in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area as an example, an empirical analysis is carried out.
    Result & Conclusion  Transportation connection is an important factor influencing station passenger volume. Expanding the passenger flow attraction range and enhancing line competitiveness are key measures to improve intercity railway passenger volume. The development conditions within a short distance around the station have a relatively small impact on passenger flow. Based on the clustering analysis results, targeted research on passenger flow enhancement strategies for different types of stations can be further conducted to achieve the goal of improving the passenger flow benefits of intercity railways in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.

     

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