天津轨道交通运营成熟期票价制定方案

Fare Formulation Scheme for Tianjin Rail Transit in Mature Operational Stage

  • 摘要:
    目的 天津轨道交通即将迈入运营成熟期发展阶段,其票价方案自2006年天津市发展和改革委员会批复后沿用至今,现行票价方案无法满足企业可持续发展需求,因此有必要对运营成熟期的票价制定方案进行研究。
    方法 采用双层规划模型构建天津轨道交通运营成熟期票价求解模型,上层规划以企业利润最大化为目标建立函数,以政府限价为约束条件;下层规划以乘客广义出行费用最小化为目标建立函数,以公共交通出行用量为约束条件。基于灵敏度分析的启发式算法对均衡票价进行求解。采用RP(实际行为)调查和SP(陈述偏好)调查相结合的方法,对乘客开展票价提升敏感性分析,并论证所制定的票价方案的可实施性。选取天津轨道交通10号线作为研究算例进行实例分析。
    结果及结论 相较于现行票价方案,天津轨道交通10号线运营成熟期均衡票价上调1.5元,企业年收入可增长837万元,晋级站数量减少1站,客流流失率为19.6%。该研究结果与既有调研结论基本一致,该调价幅度下的乘客敏感度相对较低,该票价方案具备可实施性。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Tianjin Rail Transit is about to enter the mature operational stage of its development. The current fare scheme has been in use since it was approved by the Tianjin Municipal Development and Reform Commission in 2006. The existing fare scheme can no longer meet the sustainable development needs of enterprises; therefore, it is necessary to study a fare formulation scheme for this mature operational stage.
    Method A bi-level programming model is adopted to construct a fare solution model for Tianjin Rail Transit in its mature operational stage. The upper-level model programming establishes a function aiming to maximize enterprise profit, using government price caps as constraint conditions. The lower-level programming establishes a function aiming to minimize passengers' generalized travel costs, using public transit travel volume as constraint conditions. A heuristic algorithm based on sensitivity analysis is utilized to solve for the equilibrium fare. A method combining RP (revealed preference) and SP (stated preference) surveys is adopted to conduct an analysis of passenger sensitivity to fare increases and to demonstrate the implementability of the formulated fare scheme. Tianjin Rail Transit Line 10 is selected as a case study for empirical analysis.
    Result & Conclusion  Compared to the current fare scheme, the equilibrium fare of Tianjin Rail Transit Line 10 in its mature operational stage is increased by 1.5 yuan. The enterprise's annual revenue can increase by 8.37 million yuan, the number of stations required for a fare upgrade is reduced by one station, and the passenger loss rate is 19.6%. These research results are fundamentally consistent with existing survey conclusions. In such fare equilibrium, the passenger sensitivity is relatively low, indicating that the proposed fare scheme possesses implementability.

     

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