基于ConvLSTM(卷积长短期记忆网络)模型的地铁车站基坑开挖变形预测

Prediction of Metro Station Foundation Pit Excavation Deformation Based on ConvLSTM Model

  • 摘要:
    目的 基坑工程变形预测对于确保施工安全具有重要意义。传统的预测方法在处理基坑变形的复杂时空演化特征方面存在局限性,因此,需要对基坑变形的时空耦合预测方法进行深入分析。
    方法 以上海轨道交通21号线龙东大道站基坑工程为案例,提出了一种基于ConvLSTM(卷积长短期记忆网络)模型的基坑变形预测方法。分析了案例车站基坑工程概况,以该基坑C区3个测点为研究对象,阐述了监测数据采集及预处理的方法。构建了基于ConvLSTM的基坑变形预测模型结构图,采用Adam优化器对模型进行了训练。对不同开挖阶段下这3个测点的地下连续墙水平位移实测值与预测值进行了对比,采用均方根误差、平均绝对误差和拟合优度3个指标对预测结果进行了预测精度评价,以验证所提方法的有效性和实用性。
    结果及结论 所提方法能同时捕捉基坑变形的空间特征和时间序列特性,预测精度显著优于传统方法,3个测点的均方根误差分别为1.32 mm、1.20 mm和1.26 mm。所建模型对基坑关键变形特征(如最大变形位置、变形拐点)识别准确,能有效支持基坑工程实时监测和预警。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Deformation prediction in foundation pit engineering is of great significance for ensuring the construction safety. Traditional prediction methods have limitations in handling the complex spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of foundation pit deformation. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct in-depth analysis of spatiotemporally coupled prediction methods for foundation pit deformation.
    Method Taking the foundation pit project of Longdong Avenue Station on Shanghai Metro Line 21 as a case study, a deformation prediction method for foundation pits based on ConvLSTM(convolutional long short-term memory) network is proposed. The general situation of the foundation pit project of the case station is analyzed. Taking 3 measuring points in the foundation pit Area C as the research objects, the collection and preprocessing methods of monitoring data are expounded. A structural diagram of the foundation pit deformation prediction model based on ConvLSTM is constructed, and the Adam optimi-zer is used to train the model. The measured and predicted va-lues of the horizontal displacement of the underground dia-phragm wall at these 3 measuring points during different excavation stages are compared. Three indicators, namely RMSE (root mean square error), MAE (mean absolute error) and Goodness of Fit (R2), are adopted to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the results, so as to verify the effectiveness and practicality of the proposed method.
    Result & Conclusion The proposed method can simultaneously capture spatial features and temporal sequence properties of foundation pit deformation, achieving significantly higher accuracy than traditional methods. At the three monitoring points, the RMSE values are 1.32 mm, 1.20 mm, and 1.26 mm, respectively. The established model accurately identifies key deformation features such as maximum displacement locations and inflection points, and can effectively support real-time monitoring and early warning in foundation pit engineering.

     

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