无人驾驶汽车技术发展对未来城市轨道交通影响研究
葛世平
Research on the Impact of Driverless Car Technology Development on Future Urban Rail Transit
GE Shiping
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作者信息:上海申通地铁集团有限公司，201103，上海
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Affiliation:Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd., 201103, Shanghai, China
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关键词:
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Key words:
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DOI:10.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.001
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中图分类号/CLCN:F530.7
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栏目/Col:百家论坛
摘要:
［目的］探讨无人驾驶汽车技术的发展对未来城市轨道交通可能产生的影响，并分析无人驾驶汽车在城市交通系统中的作用及其对现有城市交通结构的影响。［方法］概述了无人驾驶汽车的通行特征，分析了无人驾驶汽车对城市交通结构的影响，详细讨论了无人驾驶汽车对城市轨道交通的具体影响。［结果及结论］无人驾驶汽车能提高交通效率和乘客体验，可能会导致城市轨道交通短途客流下降，但长途客流对其依赖性仍很强。无人驾驶汽车的普及将促使城市轨道交通规划更注重速度和效率，更注重优化中心城与卫星城间的交通联系方式，也更注重促进各种交通方式信息系统的互通与信息交互，提升城市交通一体化的强度。无人驾驶汽车的发展将引发城市交通的重大变革，需要城市规划者和交通管理者采取相应措施以适应技术发展。
Abstracts:
［Objective］ The possible impact of the development of driverless car technology on future urban rail transit is explored, and the role of driverless cars in urban transportation systems as well as their impact on the existing urban transportation structure are analyzed. ［Method］ The traffic characteristics of driverless cars are outlined, the impact of driverless cars on urban transportation structure is analyzed, and the specific impact of driverless cars on urban rail transit is discussed in detail. ［Result & Conclusion］ Driverless cars can improve traffic efficiency and passenger experience, which may lead to a decrease in short-distance passenger flow in urban rail transit, but long-distance passenger flow still is still highly dependent on it. The popularization of driverless cars will prompt urban rail transit planning to pay more attention to speed and efficiency, optimization of transportation connection between the central city and satellite cities, and promotion of the interoperability and information interaction of various transportation modes’ information systems, thereby enhancing the intensity of urban transportation integration. The development of driverless cars will trigger major changes in urban transportation, requiring urban planners and transportation managers to take corresponding measures to adapt to technological development.
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